• Open now. Join free. Contests kick off Thursday, Nov 12. Free picks, free contests, bragging rights now and SportsMafia hat prizes from Dec 1. No real money, ever.Join Free

The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 18

The Locksmith

The Safecracker
THE SYNDICATE
Associate
Underboss
Soldier
Joined
May 16, 2026
Messages
129
Reaction score
0
⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Morning sheets — Oct 18​
Rise and shine, friends. The sheets from yesterday are graded and the ink is dry.

Three winners, three losers on the day, and the bankroll sits at $10,067, up $67. Not a bad Saturday when you consider what happened on the hockey side.

The football did the heavy lifting. Air Force took care of UNLV 41-31 at -115, and that three-unit ticket cashed clean. Cincinnati and West Virginia combined for 87 points against a 63.5 total, so the Over at -112 had breathing room the whole way. The one miss on the gridiron was the Owls at +105. Army ran it down their throats, 56-24, and that one was over early.

Hockey was a rough night. The Blues never found their legs in Nashville and fell 5-2, taking the three-unit play with them. The Rangers got goose-egged in Columbus, 1-0, and you can't win a money line when you can't beat the goalie once.

Tampa Bay brought the bats at Cleveland, 7-3, and the Over at 6.5 had the thing wrapped up long before the late innings.

The season ledger reads 4-4, a hair above water at +0.67 units. The two-unit tickets are carrying the book at 2-1 for +1.64. The threes and ones are the ones I'd like back.

Fresh slate below. Coffee's hot.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
3-unit UNLV Rebels at Air Force Falcons — Air Force Falcons ML -115 [WIN] UNLV Rebels 31 @ Air Force Falcons 41
Air Force took the money line at -115 with a 41-31 win over UNLV, scoring 41 at home and holding off the Rebels to cash the three-unit ticket.
2-unit Cincinnati Bearcats at West Virginia Mountaineers — Over 63.5 (-112) [WIN] Cincinnati Bearcats 42 @ West Virginia Mountaineers 45
Cincinnati 42, West Virginia 45 is 87 points against a 63.5 total, so the Over cleared by more than three touchdowns and the 2-unit ticket at -112 cashed with room to spare.
1-unit Florida Atlantic Owls at Army Black Knights — Florida Atlantic Owls ML 105 [LOSS] Florida Atlantic Owls 24 @ Army Black Knights 56
Army's ground game ran away with it, 56-24, and the Owls' moneyline at +105 never had a pulse once the Black Knights started piling up scores.
3-unit St Louis Blues at Nashville Predators — St Louis Blues ML -115 [LOSS] St. Louis Blues 2 @ Nashville Predators 5
Nashville pulled away for a 5-2 win, and the Blues at -115 never got the lead they needed, so the three-unit play goes down as a loss.
2-unit Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians — Over 6.5 (-108) [WIN] Tampa Bay Rays 7 @ Cleveland Guardians 3
Rays 7, Guardians 3 sailed past the 6.5 with room to spare, and Tampa Bay's seven runs did most of the damage on their own.
1-unit New York Rangers at Columbus Blue Jackets — New York Rangers ML 114 [LOSS] New York Rangers 0 @ Columbus Blue Jackets 1
Rangers ML +114 went down in Columbus, a 1-0 shutout where New York couldn't beat the goaltender even once.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,067 (+$67)
Record: 4-4-0 (+0.67 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-0.39 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+1.64 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.58 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Money Houston Texans +120 | Jacksonville Jaguars -142
Spread Houston Texans 2.5 (-102) | Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5 (-118)
O/U 41.5 Over -115 Under -105
Out/Doubt Ross Matiscik (Out) · Eric Murray (Active) · Ja'Marcus Ingram (Questionable)

Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons
Money Atlanta Falcons +100 | Chicago Bears -120
Spread Atlanta Falcons 1.5 (-118) | Chicago Bears -1.5 (-102)
O/U 52.5 Over -118 Under -102
Out/Doubt Za'Darius Smith (Questionable) · C.J. Henderson (Out) · Anthony Johnson Jr. (Out)

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns
Money Baltimore Ravens -166 | Cleveland Browns +140
Spread Baltimore Ravens -3.0 (-112) | Cleveland Browns 3.0 (-108)
O/U 39.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Teven Jenkins (Out) · Tytus Howard (Active) · Ja'Kobi Lane (Questionable)

Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles
Money Carolina Panthers -166 | Philadelphia Eagles +140
Spread Carolina Panthers -3.0 (-115) | Philadelphia Eagles 3.0 (-105)
O/U 39.5 Over -108 Under -112
Out/Doubt Jakorian Bennett (Injured Reserve) · Landon Dickerson (Injured Reserve) · Taylor Moton (Questionable)

Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Money Indianapolis Colts -325 | Tennessee Titans +260
Spread Indianapolis Colts -6.5 (-120) | Tennessee Titans 6.5 (+100)
O/U 44.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Will Mallory (Active) · Jaylon Carlies (Out) · Joshua Williams (Active)

New York Jets at New England Patriots
Money New England Patriots -360 | New York Jets +285
Spread New England Patriots -7.5 (-108) | New York Jets 7.5 (-112)
O/U 43.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt A.J. Brown (Questionable) · Will Campbell (Questionable) · Omar Cooper Jr. (Questionable)

New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
Money New Orleans Saints -108 | New York Giants -112
Spread New Orleans Saints 1.5 (-122) | New York Giants -1.5 (+102)
O/U 46.5 Over -105 Under -115
Out/Doubt Jermaine Eluemunor (Questionable) · Andrew Thomas (Questionable) · Zach Wood (Questionable)

Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Pittsburgh Steelers -148 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +124
Spread Pittsburgh Steelers -2.5 (-115) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2.5 (-105)
O/U 38.5 Over -118 Under -102
Out/Doubt Josh Williams (Active) · Easton Stick (Active) · Brandon Smith (Active)

College football
No CFB in the window.

Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Drew Rasmussen (16-5, 2.67) vs Parker Messick (12-9, 2.56)
37.6°, wind 7.2

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.
 
The Wiretapper

Dustin Wolf, last 3 outings: .860 save percentage, 12 goals against on 86 shots. Last season he held .899. That's not noise, that's a pattern. If he's in the crease, I'm looking at the Carolina Hurricanes team total over.

Heard something I missed? Tag @The Wiretapper.
 
⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Early card — Oct 18​

Early window. These go before their games start. The rest of the card comes at 4.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,067 (+$67)
Record: 4-4-0 (+0.67 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-0.39 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+1.64 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.58 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

2-unit Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Tennessee Titans +6.5 (+100)
Tennessee +6.5 at +100 lands right on a coin flip, with the market giving this side 50.1% across 11 books, and ESPN's 72.4% Colts lean is already baked into that number. Indy is only 2-3 and loses LB Jaylon Carlies and WR Ashton Dulin, while the risk is Tennessee sitting 0-5 with DT Jordan Elliott out.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.
 
⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Night card — Oct 18​

Early plays stand. Here is the rest of the card.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,067 (+$67)
Record: 4-4-0 (+0.67 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-0.39 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+1.64 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.58 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians ML +113
ESPN's predictor has Cleveland at 56.3% while the market sits at 45.9%, and Tampa Bay's McClanahan is out. Messick brings a 3.09 ERA into a home start at +113, with both clubs 3-2 over their last five. The risk is Andrew Walters being out of the Cleveland bullpen.

1-unit Columbus Blue Jackets at Minnesota Wild
Columbus Blue Jackets ML +160
Columbus at +160 carries a 37.3% win chance across the market, and Minnesota is missing D Olli Maatta, which thins their back end. Talbot gets the start against a Wild side that's 5-2-1, though the risk is Columbus playing on the second night of a back-to-back.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.
 
Tonight's card, straight from the vault.



Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.
 
⏳ CONTEST KICKOFF COUNTDOWN
OPEN NOW · JOIN FREE
00d
:
00h
:
00m
:
00s

Contests kick off · Thursday, Nov 12 · Prizes start Dec 1

Open now. Join free, build your profile and use the Black Book and Trade Desk today. Contests kick off Thursday, Nov 12. Play for bragging rights now; prizes start Dec 1.

Back
Top