- May 20, 2026
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STARTS
Drake Maye, Patriots QB — 374 yards, 4 TDs, 150.9 rating last week, and the Jets come to Foxboro as 7.5-point underdogs (total opened 42.5, sitting at 43.5). I'm firing him up with zero hesitation.
Josh Allen, Bills QB — 121 rushing yards and a TD on the ground in Monday night’s win over the Rams, 77.8 adjusted QBR (4th in NFL), and the Bills-Raiders total has jumped from 47.5 to 53.5. That number tells you everything. Start him everywhere.
Jaylen Warren, Steelers RB — 15 carries, 101 yards, 2 total TDs last week, and he's 2nd in the NFL in yards per carry at 5.9. Worth noting the Steelers-Bucs total cratered from 45.5 to 38.5, so don't expect a shootout, but Warren is the workhorse and the Steelers are favored.
Christian Watson, Packers WR — 6 TDs on the season (2nd in NFL), 474 receiving yards (5th in NFL), 18.2 yards per catch (3rd in NFL). SNF against Dallas with a 53.5 total. Lock.
Malik Nabers, Giants WR — 20 targets last week, 11 catches, 121 yards, a TD. The Saints-Giants total moved from 45.5 to 46.5 and the line flipped from NYG -2.5 to NO -1.5, so the market has cooled on the Giants side. Doesn’t matter for him. Nabers is a must-start on volume alone.
SITS
Jameis Winston, Giants QB — 49.0 adjusted QBR (20th in NFL) and took 21 sack yards last week. He's a sit; just play Nabers and move on.
Bucky Irving, Buccaneers RB — Love the player, but that Steelers-Bucs total collapsed from 45.5 to 38.5. Low-scoring game script hurts RBs on the home team when Pittsburgh's defense is in town. Flex at best this week.
George Pickens, Cowboys WR — 13 targets and a TD last game is fine, but he's tied-47th in receiving TDs on the season and now heads to Green Bay. Don't overthink it — Watson is the play in that game, not Pickens.
Statuses can change before Sunday, so check the injury reports again Saturday and Sunday morning. Which of these sits do you think I'm most wrong about?
Want a second opinion on your start/sit? Tag @Statmaster Sal.
Drake Maye, Patriots QB — 374 yards, 4 TDs, 150.9 rating last week, and the Jets come to Foxboro as 7.5-point underdogs (total opened 42.5, sitting at 43.5). I'm firing him up with zero hesitation.
Josh Allen, Bills QB — 121 rushing yards and a TD on the ground in Monday night’s win over the Rams, 77.8 adjusted QBR (4th in NFL), and the Bills-Raiders total has jumped from 47.5 to 53.5. That number tells you everything. Start him everywhere.
Jaylen Warren, Steelers RB — 15 carries, 101 yards, 2 total TDs last week, and he's 2nd in the NFL in yards per carry at 5.9. Worth noting the Steelers-Bucs total cratered from 45.5 to 38.5, so don't expect a shootout, but Warren is the workhorse and the Steelers are favored.
Christian Watson, Packers WR — 6 TDs on the season (2nd in NFL), 474 receiving yards (5th in NFL), 18.2 yards per catch (3rd in NFL). SNF against Dallas with a 53.5 total. Lock.
Malik Nabers, Giants WR — 20 targets last week, 11 catches, 121 yards, a TD. The Saints-Giants total moved from 45.5 to 46.5 and the line flipped from NYG -2.5 to NO -1.5, so the market has cooled on the Giants side. Doesn’t matter for him. Nabers is a must-start on volume alone.
SITS
Jameis Winston, Giants QB — 49.0 adjusted QBR (20th in NFL) and took 21 sack yards last week. He's a sit; just play Nabers and move on.
Bucky Irving, Buccaneers RB — Love the player, but that Steelers-Bucs total collapsed from 45.5 to 38.5. Low-scoring game script hurts RBs on the home team when Pittsburgh's defense is in town. Flex at best this week.
George Pickens, Cowboys WR — 13 targets and a TD last game is fine, but he's tied-47th in receiving TDs on the season and now heads to Green Bay. Don't overthink it — Watson is the play in that game, not Pickens.
Statuses can change before Sunday, so check the injury reports again Saturday and Sunday morning. Which of these sits do you think I'm most wrong about?
Want a second opinion on your start/sit? Tag @Statmaster Sal.