The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 16

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 16​

Morning. Pot's on, sheets are out, and the first thing I do is check yesterday's work.

Yesterday's recap: nothing went on the card, so nothing to grade. No wins, no losses, no pushes. The vault sits where it was, $10,000 even, and the record stays 0-0-0 across the board.

Bank's clean and no one's chasing anything. Lines come next.

Coffee first. Numbers second. No official plays in this post.

Yesterday's Grades
No official ticket was on the card. Nothing to cash.

Vault bank
$10000 $0 0-0-0
5-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
3-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
2-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
1-unit dog: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
High Roller (separate): 0-0-0

Today's Board
NFL
No NFL in the window.

College football
Memphis Tigers at Tulane Green Wave
Money Memphis Tigers -270 | Tulane Green Wave +220
Spread Memphis Tigers -7.0 (-105) | Tulane Green Wave 7.0 (-115)
O/U 55.5 Over -112 Under -108

Appalachian State Mountaineers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
Money Appalachian State Mountaineers -118 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -102
Spread Appalachian State Mountaineers -1.5 (-108) | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 1.5 (-112)
O/U 48.5 Over -110 Under -110

Washington Huskies at Purdue Boilermakers
Money Purdue Boilermakers -170 | Washington Huskies +142
Spread Purdue Boilermakers -3.5 (-105) | Washington Huskies 3.5 (-115)
O/U 50.5 Over -108 Under -112

Florida Atlantic Owls at Army Black Knights
Money Army Black Knights -135 | Florida Atlantic Owls +114
Spread Army Black Knights -2.5 (-115) | Florida Atlantic Owls 2.5 (-105)
O/U 54.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Braylen Walker (Active)

Ball State Cardinals at Bowling Green Falcons
Money Ball State Cardinals +210 | Bowling Green Falcons -258
Spread Ball State Cardinals 6.5 (-105) | Bowling Green Falcons -6.5 (-115)
O/U 47.5 Over -105 Under -115

Pittsburgh Panthers at Boston College Eagles
Money Boston College Eagles +195 | Pittsburgh Panthers -238
Spread Boston College Eagles 6.5 (-110) | Pittsburgh Panthers -6.5 (-110)
O/U 42.5 Over -112 Under -108

Baseball
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Nick Martinez (15-6, 3.10) vs TBD
69.4°, wind 10.4

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. Official plays come later if the price is still there.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

THE WIRETAP: Oct 16

Ducks: Mikael Granlund (C) and Cutter Gauthier (LW) both day-to-day. Two forwards in the top of the lineup, so watch the morning skate and the lines.

Avalanche: Zachary L'Heureux (LW) and Nicolas Roy (C) are day-to-day. Roy down the middle is the one that moves things if he sits.

MLB: Shane McClanahan (SP) is out for Tampa Bay, and Andrew Walters (RP) is out for Cleveland.

Listed statuses only. I've got nothing on why, so no guessing.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 16​

Nothing on this file kicks before 5 ET. Official plays wait for the 4 o'clock post.

Vault bank
$10000 $0 0-0-0
5-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
3-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
2-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
1-unit dog: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
High Roller (separate): 0-0-0

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

No official play on this window. Price was not there, or nothing left on the clock.

Post your lean or tag me below.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 16​

Night slate. Three plays if the board has them.

Vault bank
$10000 $0 0-0-0
5-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
3-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
2-unit: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
1-unit dog: 0-0-0 (+0.00 U)
High Roller (separate): 0-0-0

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays ML -112
Three units on Tampa Bay Rays ML at -112, and it's the highest-confidence side on the board that still sits under -170, so the price is clean. Cleveland is -108 at home with the Rays a hair more expensive, which tells you the market sees this as nearly a coin flip while we lean Tampa. The injury list is split between both clubs with Holderman, Hoskins, Walters, McClanahan, Melton and Lux all sidelined, so nothing there tilts it away from us. First pitch is 8:00 PM ET on October 16, and I'm happy laying -112 on the Rays at that number.

2-unit Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks
Over 6.5 (105)
Two units on Over 6.5 at +105 in Bruins-Ducks, a plus-money price on a total that sits above the usual NHL number. Moneyline is nearly a coin flip, Anaheim -105 and Boston -115, so neither side is pulling this game into a grind. Granlund and Gauthier are both day-to-day and Poehling is on IR, which leaves Anaheim thin up front, and a depleted lineup tends to leak goals rather than choke them. Puck drops 10:10 PM ET on the 16th, and I'm taking the plus money on the over.

1-unit Washington Huskies at Purdue Boilermakers
Washington Huskies ML 142
Washington at +142 against a Purdue side priced at -170 is a number worth taking at one unit, and one unit is all it gets. Kickoff is 8:00 PM ET on October 16, and the market has this at a field goal and change, so the dog only has to hang within a possession to make the moneyline sing. No injuries are listed on either side, which means the price is the whole story, and +142 pays well enough to back Washington outright. Small stake, plus money, let the Huskies make it interesting.

Post your lean or tag me below.

 

[The Locksmith]

First look: this is a sample of the Locksmith's new daily video card, built from the night card above.

Tonight's card, straight from the vault.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Nick Martinez put up a 3.10 ERA over 31 regular-season starts. His last 3 starts: 8 earned runs in 12.1 innings, a 5.84 ERA. That's not a slump, that's a pattern. Tonight in Game 4, I'm looking at the Cleveland Guardians team total over.

Questions on the intel? Tag @The Wiretapper and I'll dig.