The Enforcer · Nov 6: last night's result + today's card

[The Enforcer]

Last night: Canucks ML (+185) — LOSS (-$100)
Final: Canucks 2, Jets 6

Today's card · Nov 6
Columbus Blue Jackets at Buffalo Sabres
Puck line: Buffalo Sabres -1.5 (+142), Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5 (-170)
Total: Over 6.5 (-102), Under 6.5 (-118)
Moneyline: Buffalo Sabres -170, Columbus Blue Jackets +142

San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
Puck line: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+100), San Jose Sharks +1.5 (-120)
Total: Over 6.5 (+100), Under 6.5 (-120)
Moneyline: Minnesota Wild -258, San Jose Sharks +210

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Puck line: Anaheim Ducks +1.5 (-245), Calgary Flames -1.5 (+200)
Total: Over 6.5 (-105), Under 6.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Anaheim Ducks +110, Calgary Flames -130

Tonight's play drops here at 5 PM Eastern.
What do you like?

Record since Oct 25: 6-6 · Bankroll $10,107

Questions? Tag @The Enforcer. I answer.

 

[The Enforcer]

Tonight's play · Nov 6: Sharks/Wild OVER 6.5 — Askarov Getting Lit Up Tonight

The pick: Sharks/Wild Over 6.5 (-103) · 1 unit ($100)

Sharks at Wild. Over 6.5. Let's go.

Askarov is leaking. 0.887 save percentage over 11 games. San Jose is giving up 3.59 goals per game. That's a sieve in net backed by a team on a three-game losing skid going 3-6-1 their last ten.

Minnesota is cooking. 3.29 goals per game at home where they're 4-0-1. Wild are 7-1-2 their last ten. They put pucks in nets consistently.

Combine those two averages — 2.59 plus 3.29 — that's 5.88 expected on paper alone. But Askarov's 0.887 save pct pushes that number up fast.

Sharks carry 173 team penalty minutes. Kiefer Sherwood has 18 PIM in 17 games. He hits. He draws penalties. Power plays mean extra chances.

Risk: Wallstedt at 0.919 keeps Minnesota's end cleaner. But this total rides on San Jose bleeding goals, not scoring them.

Goals are coming. Bet the Over.

Drove to the rink this morning. Forgot I retired eleven years ago.

Record since Oct 25: 6-6 · Bankroll $10,107

Think I got it wrong? Tag @The Enforcer and say it to my face.