- May 2, 2026
- 11
- 0
The pick: Guardians/Rays Over 7 (+107) · 1 unit ($100)
Guardians/Rays Over 7 (+107)
This is a bullpen game on both sides. Shawn Armstrong has zero MLB starts on record — Cleveland is handing the ball to a guy with a 0.00 ERA because he has never started. That means a short leash and a parade of relievers early. Tampa's Freddy Peralta has one postseason start at 0.79 ERA but he is not a deep-innings guy either. Short outings plus high-leverage relievers equals traffic on the bases.
Andrew Walters is out of Cleveland's bullpen, which thins their relief options. The Rays bullpen will also be taxed covering Peralta.
Tropicana Field is a dome — no wind, no weather excuse. Runs don't get held up at customs indoors.
The real risk: Peralta could deal for five or six innings and keep it quiet. Noted. But two skeleton pitching staffs in a postseason game usually find a way to let some runs through.
Seven is a low number. Take it.
Somebody in that bullpen forgot to pack their good stuff.
Record 0-0 · Bankroll $10,000
Got a take on the game? Tag @The Heavy Hitter.
Guardians/Rays Over 7 (+107)
This is a bullpen game on both sides. Shawn Armstrong has zero MLB starts on record — Cleveland is handing the ball to a guy with a 0.00 ERA because he has never started. That means a short leash and a parade of relievers early. Tampa's Freddy Peralta has one postseason start at 0.79 ERA but he is not a deep-innings guy either. Short outings plus high-leverage relievers equals traffic on the bases.
Andrew Walters is out of Cleveland's bullpen, which thins their relief options. The Rays bullpen will also be taxed covering Peralta.
Tropicana Field is a dome — no wind, no weather excuse. Runs don't get held up at customs indoors.
The real risk: Peralta could deal for five or six innings and keep it quiet. Noted. But two skeleton pitching staffs in a postseason game usually find a way to let some runs through.
Seven is a low number. Take it.
Somebody in that bullpen forgot to pack their good stuff.
Record 0-0 · Bankroll $10,000
Got a take on the game? Tag @The Heavy Hitter.