The Locksmith — Morning sheets Nov 02

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Nov 02​

Monday morning, kids. Pour it strong and let's go over Sunday's tape.

Two winners and a loser. Minnesota Wild at +100 never gave us a sweat, 5-1 in Washington. Dolphins +7 at -105 was money the second they got inside the number, 24-19 final and a five-point cushion. The only blemish was the Vikings at +151, four points short in Detroit, 19-15. That one stings, but it's the price of doing business on a dog.

Still digging out from the stretch, no sugarcoating it. We sit at 9-15 since Oct 25, down 7.73 units, bankroll at $9,227. The 1-unit bucket has taken the worst of it at 5-9. Sunday was a step in the right direction, nothing more.

Back with the board shortly.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Minnesota Wild at Washington Capitals — Minnesota Wild ML +100 [WIN] Minnesota Wild 5 @ Washington Capitals 1
Minnesota Wild ML at +100 cashed easy, taking down Washington 5-1 to hand the 2-unit play a clean win.
1-unit Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — Minnesota Vikings ML +151 [LOSS] Minnesota Vikings 15 @ Detroit Lions 19
Vikings +151 came up four points short, falling 19-15 in Detroit, and the Lions held on to cash the ticket against us.
1-unit New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins — Miami Dolphins +7 (-105) [WIN] New England Patriots 24 @ Miami Dolphins 19
Dolphins +7 cashed at -105 as Miami lost 24-19, a five-point margin that kept the number comfortably alive.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,227 (-$773)
Record since Oct 25: 9-15-0 (-7.73 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-1.19 U)
2-unit: 3-5-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 5-9-0 (-4.00 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Money Chicago Bears +145 | Seattle Seahawks -175
Spread Chicago Bears 3.0 (-102) | Seattle Seahawks -3.0 (-118)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Charles Cross (Out) · Velus Jones Jr. (Out) · Kyle Monangai (Out)

College football
Ohio Bobcats at Akron Zips
Money Akron Zips +370 | Ohio Bobcats -485
Spread Akron Zips 12.5 (-115) | Ohio Bobcats -12.5 (-105)
O/U 50.5 Over -120 Under +100

Buffalo Bulls at Miami (OH) RedHawks
Money Buffalo Bulls +205 | Miami (OH) RedHawks -250
Spread Buffalo Bulls 6.5 (-105) | Miami (OH) RedHawks -6.5 (-115)
O/U 44.5 Over -110 Under -110

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Gibson's at .831 over his last 3. Last year he sat at .901. Last time out, 5 goals on 15 shots. That's not a blip, that's a trend. If he's in the crease, I'm looking at the Florida Panthers team total over.

Got a tip or a question? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Nov 02​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,227 (-$773)
Record since Oct 25: 9-15-0 (-7.73 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-1.19 U)
2-unit: 3-5-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 5-9-0 (-4.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies, 8:10 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Nov 02​

Evening card. Pull up a chair.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,227 (-$773)
Record since Oct 25: 9-15-0 (-7.73 U)
3-unit: 1-1-0 (-1.19 U)
2-unit: 3-5-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 5-9-0 (-4.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

2-unit Ohio State Buckeyes at BYU Cougars
Ohio State Buckeyes ML +146
ESPN's predictor has Ohio State at 46.4% while the market sits at 40.2%, and +146 pays on a side that's closer to a coin flip than the number suggests. Both teams come in 3-2 over their last five with no road record yet to hold against the Buckeyes.

1-unit UCLA Bruins at Arizona Wildcats
UCLA Bruins ML +180
UCLA at +180 on a neutral-feeling indoor floor, with ESPN's predictor putting the Bruins at 64.1% while the market has them at just 35.4%. UCLA has gone 3-2 over its last five, and Arizona's 4-1 run is the risk, but that gap is too wide to pass on.

1-unit Toronto Raptors at Los Angeles Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers ML +188
Clippers at +188 at home in the Intuit Dome, with Toronto on a back-to-back and missing Kawhi Leonard and Nate Bittle, with Jakob Poeltl day-to-day. The market gives LA 34.1% and ESPN's predictor 37.3%; the risk is a 1-5 team 0-5 over its last five and short-handed itself.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.