The Locksmith — Morning sheets Nov 06

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Nov 06​

Rough night, no sugarcoating it. The Heat push was a wash: tied at the half, then Golden State ran away in the second half. The Mammoth at -114 lost by a goal in Montréal, a 5-4 final, and that one stung at three units. Orlando never got going in Phoenix, 117-104, and the +105 ticket went down. One push, two losses, and the bank sits at $8,450. The 12-23-1 mark since Oct 25 says the book is winning this stretch, and I'm not here to argue with the scoreboard. Fresh sheet today, so let's see what the board gives us.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Miami Heat at Golden State Warriors — Miami Heat 1st half ML +170 [PUSH] Miami Heat 100 @ Golden State Warriors 120
Miami Heat 1st half ML +170 pushed, a tie at the break before Golden State pulled away for a 120-100 final.
3-unit Utah Mammoth at Montréal Canadiens — Utah Mammoth ML -114 [LOSS] Utah Mammoth 4 @ Montreal Canadiens 5
Utah Mammoth ML -114 fell short as Montreal edged them 5-4, a one-goal loss that stung at three units.
1-unit Orlando Magic at Phoenix Suns — Orlando Magic ML +105 [LOSS] Orlando Magic 104 @ Phoenix Suns 117
Orlando never found an answer in Phoenix, falling 117-104 as the +105 moneyline ticket went down for a full unit.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $8,450 (-$1,550)
Record since Oct 25: 12-23-1 (-15.50 U)
3-unit: 1-2-0 (-4.19 U)
2-unit: 3-6-1 (-4.54 U)
1-unit: 8-15-0 (-6.77 U)

Today's Board
NFL
No NFL in the window.

College football
Virginia Tech Hokies at SMU Mustangs
Money SMU Mustangs -225 | Virginia Tech Hokies +185
Spread SMU Mustangs -6.5 (-110) | Virginia Tech Hokies 6.5 (-110)
O/U 56.5 Over -108 Under -112

South Florida Bulls at East Carolina Pirates
Money East Carolina Pirates -135 | South Florida Bulls +114
Spread East Carolina Pirates -2.5 (-110) | South Florida Bulls 2.5 (-110)
O/U 39.5 Over -108 Under -112

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Illinois Fighting Illini
Money Illinois Fighting Illini +164 | Nebraska Cornhuskers -198
Spread Illinois Fighting Illini 4.5 (-108) | Nebraska Cornhuskers -4.5 (-112)
O/U 50.5 Over -105 Under -115

New Mexico Lobos at Nevada Wolf Pack
Money Nevada Wolf Pack +310 | New Mexico Lobos -395
Spread Nevada Wolf Pack 10.0 (-108) | New Mexico Lobos -10.0 (-112)
O/U 38.5 Over -108 Under -112

TCU Horned Frogs at Arizona Wildcats
Money Arizona Wildcats -298 | TCU Horned Frogs +240
Spread Arizona Wildcats -7.5 (-102) | TCU Horned Frogs 7.5 (-118)
O/U 46.5 Over -108 Under -112

BYU Cougars at Utah Utes
Money BYU Cougars +160 | Utah Utes -192
Spread BYU Cougars 4.5 (-112) | Utah Utes -4.5 (-108)
O/U 48.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

11 goals on 73 shots over Brossoit's last 3 starts. .849 save percentage. If he's in the crease again, Calgary Flames team total over.

Got a tip or a question? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Nov 06​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,000 (starting bank)
Record since Nov 6: nothing graded yet

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers, 7:40 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Nov 06​

Evening card. Pull up a chair.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,000 (starting bank)
Record since Nov 6: nothing graded yet

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames ML -141
Anaheim is on the second night of a back-to-back with Dostal in net at .871, while Calgary is rested at home, 5-3-0 in the Saddledome, with Wolf confirmed. The risk is Othmann and Zary both out up front.

2-unit Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers
Portland Trail Blazers ML +130
Portland is 6-1 and a perfect 5-0 on the road, and ESPN's predictor gives them 45.3% while +130 only asks for 43.5%. The Lakers are 7-2 but their only injury is Mamukelashvili, who's day-to-day; the risk is Portland missing Morant, Sharpe and Krejci.

1-unit Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers ML +130
Cleveland is 3-1 at home, and the market has the Cavs to win at 43.0% against ESPN's 43.3%, so +130 sits right on the line for a team that wins here. Philly is without Barlow and Hukporti with Bona day-to-day; the risk is Cleveland missing Tyson against a 8-1 side.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.