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The Locksmith — Morning sheets Nov 07

The Locksmith

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⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Morning sheets — Nov 07​
Rough Friday, sports fans. We opened the book 1-2 and sit at -3.70 U, with the vault at $9,630.

The three-spot went first. Calgary at -141 had the home ice and still dropped it 5-3 to Anaheim. That one stings. Then Portland at +130 hung with the Lakers and came up six short, 124-118. A fine fight, but a loss is a loss.

Cleveland saved the night. We took the +130 and the Cavs rolled Philadelphia 119-95, a pure rout, and that's +1.30 U back in the pocket.

The big plays ran cold, the small one cashed. That's how the ledger reads this morning, and it's a hole we can climb out of. Coffee's poured, the NFL board is up, and the numbers are waiting.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
3-unit Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames — Calgary Flames ML -141 [LOSS] Anaheim Ducks 5 @ Calgary Flames 3
Calgary at -141 on the moneyline couldn't hold at home, falling 5-3 to Anaheim and sending the three-unit play to the loss column.
2-unit Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers — Portland Trail Blazers ML +130 [LOSS] Portland Trail Blazers 118 @ Los Angeles Lakers 124
Portland pushed the Lakers to the wire and still fell six short, 124-118, so the +130 moneyline ticket didn't cash.
1-unit Philadelphia 76ers at Cleveland Cavaliers — Cleveland Cavaliers ML +130 [WIN] Philadelphia 76ers 95 @ Cleveland Cavaliers 119
Cleveland cashed the +130 in a rout, 119-95 over Philadelphia, finishing as the favorite at home after we got plus money on them.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,630 (-$370)
Record since Nov 6: 1-2-0 (-3.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 0-1-0 (-2.00 U)
1-unit: 1-0-0 (+1.30 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Cincinnati Bengals at Atlanta Falcons
Money Atlanta Falcons +150 | Cincinnati Bengals -180
Spread Atlanta Falcons 3.0 (+100) | Cincinnati Bengals -3.0 (-120)
O/U 52.5 Over -105 Under -115
Out/Doubt Brian Robinson Jr. (Out) · Zachariah Branch (Out) · Kyle Dugger (Out)

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers
Money Carolina Panthers +130 | Denver Broncos -155
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.0 (-120) | Denver Broncos -3.0 (+100)
O/U 44.5 Over -108 Under -112
Out/Doubt Damien Lewis (Out) · Will Lee III (Out) · Kris Abrams-Draine (Out)

Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints
Money Cleveland Browns +142 | New Orleans Saints -170
Spread Cleveland Browns 3.5 (-112) | New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-108)
O/U 42.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt CJ Donaldson (Out) · Maliek Collins (Out)

Dallas Cowboys at Indianapolis Colts
Money Dallas Cowboys -225 | Indianapolis Colts +185
Spread Dallas Cowboys -4.5 (-115) | Indianapolis Colts 4.5 (-105)
O/U 51.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Justin Walley (Out) · Akeem Davis-Gaither (Out) · Malachi Lawrence (Out)

Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins
Money Detroit Lions -290 | Miami Dolphins +235
Spread Detroit Lions -6.5 (-108) | Miami Dolphins 6.5 (-112)
O/U 49.5 Over -115 Under -105
Out/Doubt Darrell Baker Jr. (Out) · Cade Mays (Out) · DJ Wonnum (Out)

New York Jets at Kansas City Chiefs
Money Kansas City Chiefs -470 | New York Jets +360
Spread Kansas City Chiefs -9.5 (-108) | New York Jets 9.5 (-112)
O/U 48.5 Over -105 Under -115
Out/Doubt Peter Woods (Out) · Mansoor Delane (Out) · Trevin Wallace (Out)

Los Angeles Rams at Washington Commanders
Money Los Angeles Rams -218 | Washington Commanders +180
Spread Los Angeles Rams -4.5 (-112) | Washington Commanders 4.5 (-108)
O/U 47.5 Over -115 Under -105
Out/Doubt Treylon Burks (Out) · Dyami Brown (Out) · Joe Cardona (Doubtful)

New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles
Money New York Giants -155 | Philadelphia Eagles +130
Spread New York Giants -3.0 (-115) | Philadelphia Eagles 3.0 (-105)
O/U 38.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Jonathan Jones (Out) · Michael Carter II (Out) · Cam Skattebo (Doubtful)

College football
BYU Cougars at Utah Utes
Money BYU Cougars +154 | Utah Utes -185
Spread BYU Cougars 4.5 (-115) | Utah Utes -4.5 (-105)
O/U 49.5 Over -105 Under -115

Iowa State Cyclones at Baylor Bears
Money Baylor Bears -355 | Iowa State Cyclones +280
Spread Baylor Bears -10.0 (-110) | Iowa State Cyclones 10.0 (-110)
O/U 50.5 Over -118 Under -102

Florida State Seminoles at Boston College Eagles
Money Boston College Eagles +200 | Florida State Seminoles -245
Spread Boston College Eagles 6.5 (-110) | Florida State Seminoles -6.5 (-110)
O/U 52.5 Over -105 Under -115

Clemson Tigers at Syracuse Orange
Money Clemson Tigers -130 | Syracuse Orange +110
Spread Clemson Tigers -2.5 (-105) | Syracuse Orange 2.5 (-115)
O/U 49.5 Over -110 Under -110

UCLA Bruins at Minnesota Golden Gophers
Money Minnesota Golden Gophers +154 | UCLA Bruins -185
Spread Minnesota Golden Gophers 4.0 (-110) | UCLA Bruins -4.0 (-110)
O/U 38.5 Over -115 Under -105

Texas Longhorns at Missouri Tigers
Money Missouri Tigers +120 | Texas Longhorns -142
Spread Missouri Tigers 2.5 (-102) | Texas Longhorns -2.5 (-118)
O/U 42.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.
 
The Wiretapper

Logan Thompson. .912 last season, .841 over his last 3. That's 10 GA on 63 shots. If he's in the crease, I'm looking at the Florida Panthers team total over.

Questions on the intel? Tag @The Wiretapper and I'll dig.
 
⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Early card — Nov 07​

Early window. These go before their games start. The rest of the card comes at 4.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,630 (-$370)
Record since Nov 6: 1-2-0 (-3.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 0-1-0 (-2.00 U)
1-unit: 1-0-0 (+1.30 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Penn State Nittany Lions at Washington Huskies
Penn State Nittany Lions ML +114
ESPN's predictor has Penn State at 53.0% to win this game, and at +114 the number sits right in that range. Both teams are limping in at 1-4 and 2-3 over their last five, but a calm 57-degree day with 3 mph wind keeps the game on talent, and that favors Penn State.

2-unit UCLA Bruins at Minnesota Golden Gophers
UCLA Bruins ML -166
UCLA arrives 8-0 and 5-0 in its last five, while Minnesota sits 5-3 and 3-2 over its last five. ESPN's predictor gives the Bruins 67.5%, above the 62.4% that -166 needs, and with 42 degrees and a 9 mph wind, nothing here tilts it toward the home side.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.
 
⚡ SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ⚡​
The Locksmith​
Night card — Nov 07​

Early plays stand. Here is the rest of the card.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,630 (-$370)
Record since Nov 6: 1-2-0 (-3.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 0-1-0 (-2.00 U)
1-unit: 1-0-0 (+1.30 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

1-unit Georgia Bulldogs at Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels ML +150
ESPN's predictor gives Ole Miss 44.5% to win outright, well above the 40.0% that +150 needs to break even. The Rebels are 6-2 and 3-2 their last five, and at 48 degrees with light wind there's nothing in the weather to scramble this one.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.
 
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