The Locksmith — Morning sheets Nov 09

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Nov 09​

Morning, folks. Pour it black, because Sunday was a good one.

Yesterday's card: two of three came home.

The 3-unit on Boston at -141 was the cleanest ticket of the day. Bruins 4, Panthers 1, and Florida never had a sniff.

The 2-unit on Green Bay at +155 was a beauty. Packers 45, Patriots 27. A plus-money underdog that won by 18 is the kind of ticket you frame.

The 1-unit on Arkansas at +145 was the clunker. Virginia 91, Arkansas 72. Nineteen points of daylight, and the ticket was dead by the second half. That's one small unit down, no sweat.

Net on the day was plus, and the vault is sitting at $10,415. Since Nov 6 we're 5-4 for +4.15 units, with the 3-unit and 2-unit plays both carrying the load.

Sheets are below. Stay sharp.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
3-unit Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins — Boston Bruins ML -141 [WIN] Florida Panthers 1 @ Boston Bruins 4
Boston Bruins ML -141 cashed, with the Bruins taking down Florida 4-1 at home and holding the Panthers to a single goal.
1-unit Arkansas Razorbacks at Virginia Cavaliers — Arkansas Razorbacks ML +145 [LOSS] Arkansas Razorbacks 72 @ Virginia Cavaliers 91
Arkansas +145 never got off the mat, losing 91-72 at Virginia, a 19-point blowout that left the moneyline ticket dead well before the final buzzer.
2-unit Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots — Green Bay Packers ML +155 [WIN] Green Bay Packers 45 @ New England Patriots 27
Packers ML at +155 cashed in a rout, with Green Bay putting up 45 on New England and winning by 18.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,415 (+$415)
Record since Nov 6: 5-4-0 (+4.15 U)
3-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.55 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.30 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.70 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings
Money Buffalo Bills -180 | Minnesota Vikings +150
Spread Buffalo Bills -3.0 (-120) | Minnesota Vikings 3.0 (+100)
O/U 43.5 Over -118 Under -102
Out/Doubt Demond Claiborne (Out) · Jauan Jennings (Out) · Tyrell Shavers (Out)

College football
Western Michigan Broncos at Akron Zips
Money Akron Zips +455 | Western Michigan Broncos -625
Spread Akron Zips 14.5 (-112) | Western Michigan Broncos -14.5 (-108)
O/U 47.5 Over -115 Under -105

Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons
Money Bowling Green Falcons -218 | Kent State Golden Flashes +180
Spread Bowling Green Falcons -6.0 (-108) | Kent State Golden Flashes 6.0 (-112)
O/U 45.5 Over -102 Under -118

Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks
Money Miami (OH) RedHawks -108 | Ohio Bobcats -112
Spread Miami (OH) RedHawks 1.5 (-112) | Ohio Bobcats -1.5 (-108)
O/U 48.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Nov 09​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,415 (+$415)
Record since Nov 6: 5-4-0 (+4.15 U)
3-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.55 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.30 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.70 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Radford Highlanders at Tennessee Volunteers, 7:00 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Nov 09​

Lights are on. Here is tonight's work.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,415 (+$415)
Record since Nov 6: 5-4-0 (+4.15 U)
3-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.55 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+2.30 U)
1-unit: 1-2-0 (-0.70 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Denver Nuggets at Houston Rockets
1st half Over 108.5 (-104)
Denver is 4-1 over its last five and Houston is 4-1 at home, with both teams sitting above .600, so the first half should have some juice at Toyota Center. The market has this Over 108.5 at 50.2% against the 51.0% the -104 price needs, and the risk is Jokic being day-to-day.

2-unit Los Angeles Lakers at Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks -1.5 (-105)
Lakers are on the second night of a back-to-back with Grimes out and Reaves day-to-day, and ESPN has Atlanta at 53.5% to win, in line with the 53.7% moneyline market. The risk is Atlanta missing Newell, Gilbert and Landale, but I'll take the Hawks -1.5 at home.

1-unit New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers
New York Rangers ML +145
Rangers at +145 against an Oilers side starting Devon Levi, who is at .888 over eight games, while Dylan Garand sits at .906 for New York. Edmonton is also missing Colton Dach, and the risk is that the Rangers are just 2-5-1 on the road.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.