The Locksmith — Morning sheets Nov 11

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Nov 11​

Sweep night, friends. The sheet came up clean on Tuesday, and the vault is feeling it.

Bowling Green got home at -200 over Kent State, 33-28, and it was tighter than the price suggested, but the Falcons never let go. Texas Tech paid the plus money at +120, taking Illinois 84-78 at home. Nashville shut out the Kings 3-0 at +118, and that one was never in doubt.

Three tickets, three winners, and the book since Nov 6 sits at 8-7 for +3.23 units. The bankroll reads $10,323. Good start to the week, so let's see what Wednesday offers.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
3-unit Kent State Golden Flashes at Bowling Green Falcons — Bowling Green Falcons ML -200 [WIN] Kent State Golden Flashes 28 @ Bowling Green Falcons 33
Bowling Green cashed the -200 moneyline by holding off Kent State 33-28, a five-point home win that stayed tight to the final whistle.
2-unit Illinois Fighting Illini at Texas Tech Red Raiders — Texas Tech Red Raiders ML +120 [WIN] Illinois Fighting Illini 78 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders 84
Texas Tech ML +120 cashes as the Red Raiders hold off Illinois 84-78 at home, paying two units on the plus-money number.
1-unit Nashville Predators at Los Angeles Kings — Nashville Predators ML +118 [WIN] Nashville Predators 3 @ Los Angeles Kings 0
Nashville blanked Los Angeles 3-0 to cash the +118 moneyline, a shutout that never gave the Kings a way back in.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,323 (+$323)
Record since Nov 6: 8-7-0 (+3.23 U)
3-unit: 3-2-0 (+1.05 U)
2-unit: 3-2-0 (+2.70 U)
1-unit: 2-3-0 (-0.52 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Washington Commanders at New York Giants
Money New York Giants -135 | Washington Commanders +114
Spread New York Giants -2.5 (-110) | Washington Commanders 2.5 (-110)
O/U 41.5 Over -105 Under -115
Out/Doubt Cam Skattebo (Out) · Lucas Patrick (Doubtful)

College football
Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals
Money Ball State Cardinals +102 | Buffalo Bulls -122
Spread Ball State Cardinals 1.5 (-112) | Buffalo Bulls -1.5 (-108)
O/U 50.5 Over -118 Under -102

Sacramento State Hornets at Central Michigan Chippewas
Money Central Michigan Chippewas -1100 | Sacramento State Hornets +700
Spread Central Michigan Chippewas -18.5 (-105) | Sacramento State Hornets 18.5 (-115)
O/U 43.5 Over -115 Under -105

UMass Minutemen at Toledo Rockets
Money Toledo Rockets -600 | UMass Minutemen +440
Spread Toledo Rockets -14.0 (-110) | UMass Minutemen 14.0 (-110)
O/U 51.5 Over -115 Under -105

Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls
Money Memphis Tigers -180 | South Florida Bulls +150
Spread Memphis Tigers -3.5 (-110) | South Florida Bulls 3.5 (-110)
O/U 49.5 Over -115 Under -105

Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at UL Monroe Warhawks
Money Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -410 | UL Monroe Warhawks +320
Spread Louisiana Ragin Cajuns -10.5 (-108) | UL Monroe Warhawks 10.5 (-112)
O/U 49.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Nov 11​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,323 (+$323)
Record since Nov 6: 8-7-0 (+3.23 U)
3-unit: 3-2-0 (+1.05 U)
2-unit: 3-2-0 (+2.70 U)
1-unit: 2-3-0 (-0.52 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Marquette Golden Eagles at Michigan Wolverines, 7:00 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Nov 11​

Night shift. These are the ones I like.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $10,323 (+$323)
Record since Nov 6: 8-7-0 (+3.23 U)
3-unit: 3-2-0 (+1.05 U)
2-unit: 3-2-0 (+2.70 U)
1-unit: 2-3-0 (-0.52 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Washington Wizards at Indiana Pacers
Washington Wizards ML +130
Indiana is 0-4 at home and 1-4 over its last five, with Haliburton, Furphy and Sheppard all out, while ESPN's predictor gives Washington 47.8% against the 43.5% that +130 needs. The risk is Vukcevic, Beekman and Champagnie sitting for a 4-7 Wizards team.

2-unit Marquette Golden Eagles at Michigan Wolverines
Marquette Golden Eagles ML +142
Marquette at +142 asks for 41.3%, and ESPN's predictor has this one at 49.8% for the Golden Eagles, basically a coin flip. They're 2-0 and 4-1 in their last five, while the risk is that the betting market only gives them 39.6%.

1-unit Orlando Magic at Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz ML +150
Orlando is without Banchero, Suggs and Isaac and is on the second night of a back-to-back, while the market gives Utah 38.3% against the 40.0% that +150 requires. The risk is Markkanen, Nurkic and Jackson all being out for a Jazz team that's 0-5 in its last five.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.