The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 20

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 20​

Tough one to swallow. Pittsburgh at +163 had Utah on the ropes in a 5-4 game, and one bounce either way flips the ticket. The Penguins ML took the loss, one unit down.

The vault sits at 5-7, down 2.33 units. The 2-unit tier is carrying its weight at 3-1 for +3.64, while the 1-unit side is 1-4 and the 3-unit tier is 1-2. Cold stretch, but the number didn't miss by much last night, and a goal is a goal.

Resetting the sheets for today.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
1-unit Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins ML +163 [LOSS] Pittsburgh Penguins 4 @ Utah Mammoth 5
Pittsburgh at +163 came up one goal short, falling 5-4 in Utah in a game that went down to the wire.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,767 (-$233)
Record: 5-7-0 (-2.33 U)
3-unit: 1-2-0 (-3.39 U)
2-unit: 3-1-0 (+3.64 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-2.58 U)

Today's Board
NFL
No NFL in the window.

College football
Missouri State Bears at Delaware Blue Hens
Money Delaware Blue Hens -155 | Missouri State Bears +130
Spread Delaware Blue Hens -3.0 (-108) | Missouri State Bears 3.0 (-112)
O/U 52.5 Over -110 Under -110

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Florida International Panthers
Money Florida International Panthers -380 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +300
Spread Florida International Panthers -10.0 (-110) | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 10.0 (-110)
O/U 45.5 Over -105 Under -115

South Alabama Jaguars at Marshall Thundering Herd
Money Marshall Thundering Herd +136 | South Alabama Jaguars -162
Spread Marshall Thundering Herd 3.0 (-108) | South Alabama Jaguars -3.0 (-112)
O/U 65.5 Over -108 Under -112

New Mexico State Aggies at Sam Houston State Bearkats
Money New Mexico State Aggies -148 | Sam Houston State Bearkats +124
Spread New Mexico State Aggies -3.0 (-108) | Sam Houston State Bearkats 3.0 (-112)
O/U 44.5 Over -112 Under -108

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Lankinen. Last 3 starts, .795 save percentage and 16 goals on 78 shots. Last season he finished at .875. If he gets the net, that's not a blip, that's a pattern. I'm looking at the Carolina Hurricanes team total over.

Heard something I missed? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 20​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,767 (-$233)
Record: 5-7-0 (-2.33 U)
3-unit: 1-2-0 (-3.39 U)
2-unit: 3-1-0 (+3.64 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-2.58 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Philadelphia 76ers at New York Knicks, 7:00 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 20​

Lights are on. Here is tonight's work.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,767 (-$233)
Record: 5-7-0 (-2.33 U)
3-unit: 1-2-0 (-3.39 U)
2-unit: 3-1-0 (+3.64 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-2.58 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Toronto Maple Leafs at Columbus Blue Jackets
Toronto Maple Leafs ML +130
Toronto at +130 against a Columbus club sitting at -5 goal differential through seven games, with Stolarz in net and the Leafs 2-3 in their last five, same as the Jackets. The risk is the back-to-back, but the market has Columbus at 57.7% while the standings numbers split this nearly 50-50.

1-unit Boston Bruins at Dallas Stars
Boston Bruins ML +145
Boston's 7-2-0 with a 5-0 run, Swayman in goal, and a +15 goal differential against Dallas's +7 and 1-2-0 home mark. Lindell is out on the Stars' blue line, and +145 on a side the standings put at 51.1% is the number I'm taking.

1-unit Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils
Colorado Avalanche ML +100
Colorado at +100 against a Devils side sitting at 4-4 with a -2 goal differential, while the Avs carry a +11 mark through nine games. The market has New Jersey at 51.8%, but the goal-differential gap points the other way, and the risk is the back-to-back.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.