The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 27

[The Locksmith]

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The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 27​

Pour the coffee, because Monday was a mixed bag with a sour finish.

Milwaukee was the bright spot. The +165 moneyline on the Bucks came home 110-102 over Indiana, a clean 2-unit winner and the only ticket that cashed.

Atlanta at +168 never got going in Houston. The Rockets ran away with it 120-110, and that one's in the loss column.

Utah is the one that stings. The 3-unit Jazz moneyline at -110 fell five short, 110-105 to Memphis, and that swing put the sheet in the red.

The vault sits at $9,530, down $470, with the record at 1-5 since Oct 25. A tough stretch, and we grind from here. On to today's numbers.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks — Milwaukee Bucks ML +165 [WIN] Indiana Pacers 102 @ Milwaukee Bucks 110
Milwaukee cashed the +165 moneyline, closing out Indiana 110-102 at home for a clean 2-unit winner.
1-unit Atlanta Hawks at Houston Rockets — Atlanta Hawks ML +168 [LOSS] Atlanta Hawks 110 @ Houston Rockets 120
Hawks +168 never found a rhythm in Houston, dropping this one 120-110 as the Rockets controlled the game down the stretch.
3-unit Memphis Grizzlies at Utah Jazz — Utah Jazz ML -110 [LOSS] Memphis Grizzlies 110 @ Utah Jazz 105
Utah came up five short at home, 110-105, and the Jazz moneyline at -110 went down with it.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,530 (-$470)
Record since Oct 25: 1-5-0 (-4.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 1-1-0 (+1.30 U)
1-unit: 0-3-0 (-3.00 U)

Today's Board
NFL
No NFL in the window.

College football
Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Money Delaware Blue Hens -115 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -105
Spread Delaware Blue Hens -1.5 (-108) | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 1.5 (-112)
O/U 57.5 Over -112 Under -108

Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears
Money Missouri State Bears -218 | Sam Houston State Bearkats +180
Spread Missouri State Bears -4.5 (-115) | Sam Houston State Bearkats 4.5 (-105)
O/U 50.5 Over -118 Under -102

Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Money Kennesaw State Owls +120 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -142
Spread Kennesaw State Owls 2.5 (+100) | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5 (-120)
O/U 51.5 Over -102 Under -118

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at New Mexico State Aggies
Money Jacksonville State Gamecocks -162 | New Mexico State Aggies +136
Spread Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3.5 (-102) | New Mexico State Aggies 3.5 (-118)
O/U 49.5 Over -110 Under -110

Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
TBD vs Griffin Jax (8-10, 3.53)

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Karel Vejmelka. Last 3 starts, .822 save percentage. 13 goals against on 73 shots. Last season he held .897. That's not a dip, that's a drift. If he's in the crease, I'm looking at the Minnesota Wild team total over.

Got a tip or a question? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

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The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 27​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,530 (-$470)
Record since Oct 25: 1-5-0 (-4.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 1-1-0 (+1.30 U)
1-unit: 0-3-0 (-3.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, 7:00 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 27​

Night card. Here is where the money goes.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,530 (-$470)
Record since Oct 25: 1-5-0 (-4.70 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 1-1-0 (+1.30 U)
1-unit: 0-3-0 (-3.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

2-unit Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth
Minnesota Wild ML +108
Wallstedt has stopped .918 over 11 starts against Vejmelka's .873, and Utah is down John Marino on the back end. Minnesota's +11 goal differential and 4-3-2 road mark make +108 a spot worth taking.

1-unit Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears
Sam Houston State Bearkats ML +185
ESPN's predictor gives Sam Houston State 40.2% while the market has them at 33.7%, and +185 on a 1-6 team facing a 2-5 Missouri State club is a spot where that gap matters. Both sides are 1-4 over their last five, with a mild 67-degree night in Springfield.

1-unit Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Delaware Blue Hens +1.5 (+100)
Delaware catches +1.5 at even money in a game the books price as a near coin flip, with both teams sitting at 3-4. The market gives this side 49.3% and ESPN's predictor still has Delaware at 43.9%, but the Hens are only a point and a half from covering with 68 degrees and light wind at kickoff.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.