The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 28

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 28​

Rise and shine, folks. Last night was a split decision, two cashers and one clunker.

Minnesota Wild at +108 did the job on the road, 3-1 over Utah, and the 2-unit ticket paid. Delaware was the pleasant surprise: took the 1.5 and then some, winning outright at Western Kentucky 35-21. The one that bit us was Sam Houston State at +185. Missouri State ran them over 24-3, and a field goal was all the Bearkats had to show for it.

Net on the card: two winners, one loser. Since the 25th we sit 3-6-0 for -2.54 U. The 2-unit tickets have carried us at 2-1 for +3.46 U, while the 1-unit side is 1-4 for -3.00 U. The bank reads $9,746.

Lines are posted below for today. Pour another cup and have a look.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth — Minnesota Wild ML +108 [WIN] Minnesota Wild 3 @ Utah Mammoth 1
Minnesota Wild took down Utah Mammoth 3-1 on the road, and the +108 moneyline ticket cashed at 2 units.
1-unit Sam Houston State Bearkats at Missouri State Bears — Sam Houston State Bearkats ML +185 [LOSS] Sam Houston Bearkats 3 @ Missouri State Bears 24
Sam Houston State at +185 never got a pulse, dropping a 24-3 decision at Missouri State where the Bearkats' only points came on a field goal.
1-unit Delaware Blue Hens at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers — Delaware Blue Hens +1.5 (+100) [WIN] Delaware Blue Hens 35 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 21
Delaware didn't just cover the 1.5, they won outright at Western Kentucky, 35-21, a 14-point cushion that left the number never in doubt.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,746 (-$254)
Record since Oct 25: 3-6-0 (-2.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+3.46 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-3.00 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Money Carolina Panthers +154 | Green Bay Packers -185
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.5 (-108) | Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-112)
O/U 47.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Sean Rhyan (Out) · Zaire Franklin (Doubtful)

College football
Kennesaw State Owls at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Money Kennesaw State Owls +120 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -142
Spread Kennesaw State Owls 2.5 (-102) | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -2.5 (-118)
O/U 50.5 Over -112 Under -108

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at New Mexico State Aggies
Money Jacksonville State Gamecocks -162 | New Mexico State Aggies +136
Spread Jacksonville State Gamecocks -3.0 (-118) | New Mexico State Aggies 3.0 (-102)
O/U 49.5 Over -110 Under -110

Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green
Money Florida Atlantic Owls +390 | North Texas Mean Green -520
Spread Florida Atlantic Owls 13.5 (-108) | North Texas Mean Green -13.5 (-112)
O/U 77.5 Over -105 Under -115

Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes
Money James Madison Dukes -1600 | Troy Trojans +900
Spread James Madison Dukes -21.0 (-102) | Troy Trojans 21.0 (-118)
O/U 49.5 Over -110 Under -110

Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
Jacob Misiorowski (16-5, 1.80) vs TBD

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Joey Daccord. Last 3 starts: .861 save percentage, 15 goals against on 108 shots. Last season he was .897. That's not a dip, that's a drift. If he gets the net, I'm looking at the Toronto Maple Leafs team total over.

Questions on the intel? Tag @The Wiretapper and I'll dig.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 28​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,746 (-$254)
Record since Oct 25: 3-6-0 (-2.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+3.46 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-3.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers, 7:10 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 28​

Lights are on. Here is tonight's work.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,746 (-$254)
Record since Oct 25: 3-6-0 (-2.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-1-0 (+3.46 U)
1-unit: 1-4-0 (-3.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

2-unit Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers
Calgary Flames ML +163
Calgary comes in 4-1 over its last five with Devin Cooley at .914 across six starts, while Tristan Jarry sits at .862 over five for Edmonton. The market gives the Flames just 37.6% at +163, and the goalie matchup nudges that number their way.

1-unit Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays ML +135
Rays at +135 with Drew Rasmussen's 2.19 ERA on the bump and a 55-26 home record at Tropicana Field is a spot worth taking against a 103-win Brewers club. The risk is Junior Caminero being day-to-day, but the home edge and the Rasmussen arm carry it.

1-unit Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans ML +165
Pelicans at +165 with ESPN's predictor at 37.3% sitting right on the market's 37.9%, and Denver is without Spencer Jones, Alpha Diallo and Julian Strawther while 0-1 on the road. The risk is Yves Missi being out in the paint for a 0-3 New Orleans team.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.