The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 29

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 29​

Rough night at the window, no sugarcoating it. Three tickets Wednesday, three losers.

Calgary +163 at Edmonton got blanked 4-0, dead from the second the Oilers got out front. Tampa Bay +135 fell 4-1 to Milwaukee, one run was all the Rays could scrape together. New Orleans +165 lost 104-91 to Denver, never got a look at the lead worth mentioning.

That's three dogs in a row that never made it a game. The bank sits at $9,346, down $654, and the book since Oct 25 reads 3-9, minus 6.54 units. The 1-unit tickets are carrying most of the damage at 1-6.

New day, clean slate. Eyes on the board.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Calgary Flames at Edmonton Oilers — Calgary Flames ML +163 [LOSS] Calgary Flames 0 @ Edmonton Oilers 4
Calgary got shut out 4-0 in Edmonton, so the +163 moneyline on the Flames never had a pulse once the Oilers pulled ahead.
1-unit Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays — Tampa Bay Rays ML +135 [LOSS] Milwaukee Brewers 4 @ Tampa Bay Rays 1
Tampa Bay at +135 never found its footing, as Milwaukee put up four and held the Rays to a lone run in a 4-1 loss that sent the one-unit play down.
1-unit Denver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans — New Orleans Pelicans ML +165 [LOSS] Denver Nuggets 104 @ New Orleans Pelicans 91
Pelicans at +165 never got going, falling 104-91 to a Nuggets team that controlled the game and cashed the loss on the ticket.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,346 (-$654)
Record since Oct 25: 3-9-0 (-6.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-2-0 (+1.46 U)
1-unit: 1-6-0 (-5.00 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Money Carolina Panthers +160 | Green Bay Packers -192
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.5 (-108) | Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-112)
O/U 46.5 Over -120 Under +100
Out/Doubt Travis Glover (Out) · Sean Rhyan (Out) · Torricelli Simpkins III (Out)

College football
Florida Atlantic Owls at North Texas Mean Green
Money Florida Atlantic Owls +410 | North Texas Mean Green -550
Spread Florida Atlantic Owls 14.5 (-112) | North Texas Mean Green -14.5 (-108)
O/U 76.5 Over -115 Under -105

Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes
Money James Madison Dukes -1350 | Troy Trojans +800
Spread James Madison Dukes -19.5 (-110) | Troy Trojans 19.5 (-110)
O/U 49.5 Over -110 Under -110

Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers
Money Charlotte 49ers +275 | Tulane Green Wave -345
Spread Charlotte 49ers 9.5 (-108) | Tulane Green Wave -9.5 (-112)
O/U 47.5 Over -105 Under -115

Baylor Bears at UCF Knights
Money Baylor Bears -105 | UCF Knights -115
Spread Baylor Bears 1.5 (-118) | UCF Knights -1.5 (-102)
O/U 47.5 Over -115 Under -105

Kent State Golden Flashes at Sacramento State Hornets
Money Kent State Golden Flashes -325 | Sacramento State Hornets +260
Spread Kent State Golden Flashes -8.5 (-112) | Sacramento State Hornets 8.5 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Michal Postava. 2 career games. Last time out, 3 goals on 27 shots, .889. Small sample, loud signal. If he gets the net, I'm looking at the Chicago Blackhawks team total over.

Heard something I missed? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 29​

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,346 (-$654)
Record since Oct 25: 3-9-0 (-6.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-2-0 (+1.46 U)
1-unit: 1-6-0 (-5.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

The games I like start later. First one is Troy Trojans at James Madison Dukes, 7:30 PM ET. Back at 4.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 29​

Evening card. Pull up a chair.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $9,346 (-$654)
Record since Oct 25: 3-9-0 (-6.54 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-2-0 (+1.46 U)
1-unit: 1-6-0 (-5.00 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

2-unit Winnipeg Jets at Tampa Bay Lightning
Winnipeg Jets ML +195
Skinner's 0.911 save percentage sits well above Vasilevskiy's 0.883, and the Lightning are down Girgensons, while the market's 65.3% on Tampa leaves Winnipeg at +195. The risk is a Jets team 0-5 in its last five.

1-unit Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers ML -185
Packers ML at -185 sits right in line with the 63.5% market number and ESPN's 64.9%, and Carolina shows up to Lambeau with guards Simpkins and Lewis out plus Jaelan Phillips sidelined. The risk is Green Bay's own line, with Glover and Rhyan both out, but 52 degrees and light wind won't muddy anything.

1-unit Sacramento Kings at New Orleans Pelicans
Sacramento Kings ML +200
Both teams sit at 0-4, yet New Orleans is the one playing on the second night of a back-to-back, with Yves Missi out and Jordan Poole day-to-day. The market makes Sacramento a 32.8% winner at +200, and a winless road dog with a rested group is worth a swing, though the risk is Keegan Murray sitting out.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.