The Locksmith — Morning sheets Oct 31

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Morning sheets — Oct 31​

Friday was a bad one, plain and simple. One out of three, and the one that cashed was the small ticket.

Orlando in Toronto at +185 was the lone winner, 121-114, and the Magic never needed the points. That's a clean 1-unit cash.

The 2-unit on Phoenix at +152 didn't get there. Denver won 127-120 in the desert, and the Suns couldn't hold it at home. Baylor at UCF was uglier. We took UCF at +110 and watched Baylor win 41-9 in a game that was never close.

Vault sits at $8,985, down $1,015, and we're 5-13 since Oct 25. The 1-unit tickets have taken the worst of it at 3-8. Saturday is a new sheet, so let's get to work.

Coffee first. Numbers second.

Yesterday's Grades
2-unit Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns — Phoenix Suns ML +152 [LOSS] Denver Nuggets 127 @ Phoenix Suns 120
Phoenix couldn't hold off Denver at home, falling 127-120, so the Suns ML at +152 goes down as a loss.
1-unit Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors — Orlando Magic ML +185 [WIN] Orlando Magic 121 @ Toronto Raptors 114
Orlando got the outright win in Toronto, 121-114, and the Magic moneyline at +185 paid off for a 1-unit winner.
1-unit Baylor Bears at UCF Knights — UCF Knights ML +110 [LOSS] Baylor Bears 41 @ UCF Knights 9
UCF at +110 never showed up, getting run off its own field 41-9 as Baylor controlled this one from start to finish.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $8,985 (-$1,015)
Record since Oct 25: 5-13-0 (-10.15 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-4-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 3-8-0 (-4.61 U)

Today's Board
NFL
Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Money Arizona Cardinals +245 | Dallas Cowboys -305
Spread Arizona Cardinals 7.0 (-112) | Dallas Cowboys -7.0 (-108)
O/U 54.5 Over -112 Under -108
Out/Doubt Dee Winters (Out) · KaVontae Turpin (Out) · Jon Gaines II (Out)

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Atlanta Falcons +114 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -135
Spread Atlanta Falcons 2.5 (-115) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (-105)
O/U 43.5 Over -108 Under -112
Out/Doubt Emeka Egbuka (Out) · Anterio Thompson (Out) · Brian Robinson Jr. (Out)

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Money Baltimore Ravens +142 | Buffalo Bills -170
Spread Baltimore Ravens 3.0 (-108) | Buffalo Bills -3.0 (-112)
O/U 54.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Tyrell Shavers (Out) · Olaivavega Ioane (Out) · Jaylinn Hawkins (Out)

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Money Cincinnati Bengals -675 | Tennessee Titans +490
Spread Cincinnati Bengals -12.5 (-108) | Tennessee Titans 12.5 (-112)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Kyle Dugger (Out) · Tommy Townsend (Out) · Tyjae Spears (Out)

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Money Cleveland Browns +160 | Pittsburgh Steelers -192
Spread Cleveland Browns 3.5 (-110) | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)
O/U 39.5 Over -105 Under -115
Out/Doubt Doneiko Slaughter (Out) · Brandin Echols (Out)

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Money Detroit Lions -170 | Minnesota Vikings +142
Spread Detroit Lions -3.0 (-120) | Minnesota Vikings 3.0 (+100)
O/U 46.5 Over +100 Under -120
Out/Doubt Kerby Joseph (Out)

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Money Indianapolis Colts +380 | Jacksonville Jaguars -500
Spread Indianapolis Colts 10.0 (-115) | Jacksonville Jaguars -10.0 (-105)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Antonio Johnson (Out) · Anthony Gould (Out) · Justin Walley (Out)

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
Money Las Vegas Raiders +102 | New York Jets -122
Spread Las Vegas Raiders 1.5 (-110) | New York Jets -1.5 (-110)
O/U 45.5 Over -110 Under -110
Out/Doubt Max Mitchell (Out) · David Bailey (Doubtful) · Patrick Johnson (Out)

College football
Arizona Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Money Arizona Wildcats +150 | Texas Tech Red Raiders -180
Spread Arizona Wildcats 3.5 (-108) | Texas Tech Red Raiders -3.5 (-112)
O/U 54.5 Over -110 Under -110

Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue Devils
Money Boston College Eagles +225 | Duke Blue Devils -278
Spread Boston College Eagles 7.0 (-110) | Duke Blue Devils -7.0 (-110)
O/U 48.5 Over -110 Under -110

Bowling Green Falcons at Western Michigan Broncos
Money Bowling Green Falcons +440 | Western Michigan Broncos -600
Spread Bowling Green Falcons 13.5 (-102) | Western Michigan Broncos -13.5 (-118)
O/U 44.5 Over -115 Under -105

California Golden Bears at NC State Wolfpack
Money California Golden Bears +250 | NC State Wolfpack -310
Spread California Golden Bears 9.5 (-108) | NC State Wolfpack -9.5 (-112)
O/U 56.5 Over -112 Under -108

Illinois Fighting Illini at Maryland Terrapins
Money Illinois Fighting Illini -135 | Maryland Terrapins +114
Spread Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 (-112) | Maryland Terrapins 2.5 (-108)
O/U 53.5 Over -112 Under -108

Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes
Money Iowa Hawkeyes -135 | Wisconsin Badgers +114
Spread Iowa Hawkeyes -2.5 (-115) | Wisconsin Badgers 2.5 (-105)
O/U 36.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baseball
No baseball on the board.

The counter is open
Post your lean or tag me on a number below. The night card drops at 4.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Wiretapper]

The Wiretapper

Oettinger's at .845 over his last 3. Last season he finished .899. Goals against climbed 2, then 3, then 4. That's not noise, that's a staircase. If he's in the crease, I'm looking at the Columbus Blue Jackets team total over.

Heard something I missed? Tag @The Wiretapper.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Early card — Oct 31​

Early window. These go before their games start. The rest of the card comes at 4.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $8,985 (-$1,015)
Record since Oct 25: 5-13-0 (-10.15 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-4-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 3-8-0 (-4.61 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.

Official plays

3-unit Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina Pirates ML -166
East Carolina at -166 sits right in line with a 62.4% market win rate, and ESPN's predictor is higher at 68.2%. The Pirates have won three of their last five while Temple is 1-4 over its last five, so I'm laying the price.

2-unit South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners
Oklahoma Sooners ML -150
Oklahoma at -150 sits right around the market's 59.7% win number, and ESPN's predictor leans a bit harder at 64.5%. Both teams are 4-3, but the Sooners have won three of their last five to South Carolina's two, and it's a calm 63 with 5 mph wind in Norman.

1-unit Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at UL Monroe Warhawks
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles ML -152
Southern Miss at -152 sits against a 60.0% market read, and ESPN's predictor has them at 76.8%, so every number leans the same direction. The risk is that both teams are 1-4 over their last five, with Southern Miss 2-5 and UL Monroe 1-6.

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

Night card — Oct 31​

Early plays stand.

Vault bank
Bankroll: $8,985 (-$1,015)
Record since Oct 25: 5-13-0 (-10.15 U)
3-unit: 0-1-0 (-3.00 U)
2-unit: 2-4-0 (-2.54 U)
1-unit: 3-8-0 (-4.61 U)

High Roller
Quiet. Nothing filed.


Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.