The Locksmith — NFL week Oct 27

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

NFL week — Oct 27​

Week bank $10,000 (starting bank), record since Oct 25: nothing graded yet

Opening numbers are below with the bodies that can still move them. Circle what you like.

This week's lines
Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Thu 08:15 PM ET
Money Carolina Panthers +154 | Green Bay Packers -185
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.5 (-110) | Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-110)
O/U 47.5 Over -118 Under -102

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Arizona Cardinals +240 | Dallas Cowboys -298
Spread Arizona Cardinals 6.5 (-112) | Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-108)
O/U 54.5 Over -108 Under -112

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Atlanta Falcons +114 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -135
Spread Atlanta Falcons 2.5 (-115) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (-105)
O/U 46.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Baltimore Ravens +160 | Buffalo Bills -192
Spread Baltimore Ravens 3.5 (-118) | Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-102)
O/U 53.5 Over -112 Under -108

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cincinnati Bengals -600 | Tennessee Titans +440
Spread Cincinnati Bengals -10.0 (-112) | Tennessee Titans 10.0 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cleveland Browns +150 | Pittsburgh Steelers -180
Spread Cleveland Browns 3.5 (-108) | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-112)
O/U 39.5 Over -108 Under -112

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Detroit Lions -170 | Minnesota Vikings +142
Spread Detroit Lions -3.0 (-112) | Minnesota Vikings 3.0 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Indianapolis Colts +310 | Jacksonville Jaguars -395
Spread Indianapolis Colts 7.5 (-108) | Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 (-112)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Las Vegas Raiders -110 | New York Jets -110
Spread Las Vegas Raiders 1.5 (-122) | New York Jets -1.5 (+102)
O/U 45.5 Over -110 Under -110

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams
Sun 04:05 PM ET
Money Los Angeles Chargers +230 | Los Angeles Rams -285
Spread Los Angeles Chargers 6.5 (-108) | Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (-112)
O/U 44.5 Over -102 Under -118

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
Sun 04:25 PM ET
Money Denver Broncos +105 | Kansas City Chiefs -125
Spread Denver Broncos 1.5 (-110) | Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 (-110)
O/U 41.5 Over -105 Under -115

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins
Sun 04:25 PM ET
Money Miami Dolphins +310 | New England Patriots -395
Spread Miami Dolphins 7.5 (-115) | New England Patriots -7.5 (-105)
O/U 44.5 Over -108 Under -112

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders
Sun 08:20 PM ET
Money Philadelphia Eagles +170 | Washington Commanders -205
Spread Philadelphia Eagles 4.5 (-112) | Washington Commanders -4.5 (-108)
O/U 40.5 Over -110 Under -110

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Mon 08:20 PM ET
Money Chicago Bears +142 | Seattle Seahawks -170
Spread Chicago Bears 3.0 (-102) | Seattle Seahawks -3.0 (-118)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Bodies that can still move a number

• Tip Reiman, TE, Arizona Cardinals (Out)
• Anthony Johnson Jr., S, Chicago Bears (Out)
• Kyle Dugger, S, Cincinnati Bengals (Out)
• Emari Demercado, RB, Dallas Cowboys (Out)
• Kerby Joseph, S, Detroit Lions (Out)
• Sean Rhyan, G, Green Bay Packers (Doubtful)
• Britain Covey, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (Out)
• Charles Cross, OT, Seattle Seahawks (Doubtful)

Lean or tag below.

Questions on any of these? Tag @The Locksmith and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

NFL desk — Oct 27

Week bank $10,000 (starting bank), record since Oct 25: nothing graded yet

Still watching the numbers move.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Thu 08:15 PM ET
Money Carolina Panthers +154 | Green Bay Packers -185
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.5 (-110) | Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-110)
O/U 47.5 Over -118 Under -102

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Arizona Cardinals +240 | Dallas Cowboys -298
Spread Arizona Cardinals 6.5 (-112) | Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-108)
O/U 54.5 Over -108 Under -112

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Atlanta Falcons +114 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -135
Spread Atlanta Falcons 2.5 (-115) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (-105)
O/U 46.5 Over -108 Under -112

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Baltimore Ravens +160 | Buffalo Bills -192
Spread Baltimore Ravens 3.5 (-118) | Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-102)
O/U 53.5 Over -112 Under -108

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cincinnati Bengals -600 | Tennessee Titans +440
Spread Cincinnati Bengals -10.0 (-112) | Tennessee Titans 10.0 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cleveland Browns +150 | Pittsburgh Steelers -180
Spread Cleveland Browns 3.5 (-108) | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-112)
O/U 39.5 Over -108 Under -112

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Detroit Lions -170 | Minnesota Vikings +142
Spread Detroit Lions -3.0 (-112) | Minnesota Vikings 3.0 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Indianapolis Colts +310 | Jacksonville Jaguars -395
Spread Indianapolis Colts 7.5 (-108) | Jacksonville Jaguars -7.5 (-112)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Still listed

• Tip Reiman, TE, Arizona Cardinals (Out)
• Anthony Johnson Jr., S, Chicago Bears (Out)
• Kyle Dugger, S, Cincinnati Bengals (Out)
• Emari Demercado, RB, Dallas Cowboys (Out)
• Kerby Joseph, S, Detroit Lions (Out)

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

NFL desk — Oct 28

Week bank $10,000 (starting bank), record since Oct 25: nothing graded yet

Still watching the numbers move.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers
Thu 08:15 PM ET
Money Carolina Panthers +154 | Green Bay Packers -185
Spread Carolina Panthers 3.5 (-108) | Green Bay Packers -3.5 (-112)
O/U 47.5 Over -112 Under -108

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Arizona Cardinals +270 | Dallas Cowboys -340
Spread Arizona Cardinals 6.5 (-105) | Dallas Cowboys -6.5 (-115)
O/U 54.5 Over -108 Under -112

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Atlanta Falcons +114 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -135
Spread Atlanta Falcons 2.5 (-112) | Tampa Bay Buccaneers -2.5 (-108)
O/U 45.5 Over -110 Under -110

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Baltimore Ravens +145 | Buffalo Bills -175
Spread Baltimore Ravens 3.0 (+100) | Buffalo Bills -3.0 (-120)
O/U 54.5 Over -105 Under -115

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cincinnati Bengals -500 | Tennessee Titans +380
Spread Cincinnati Bengals -10.0 (-115) | Tennessee Titans 10.0 (-105)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Cleveland Browns +154 | Pittsburgh Steelers -185
Spread Cleveland Browns 3.5 (-110) | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)
O/U 39.5 Over -108 Under -112

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Detroit Lions -170 | Minnesota Vikings +142
Spread Detroit Lions -3.0 (-120) | Minnesota Vikings 3.0 (+100)
O/U 46.5 Over +100 Under -120

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 01:00 PM ET
Money Indianapolis Colts +340 | Jacksonville Jaguars -440
Spread Indianapolis Colts 9.5 (-112) | Jacksonville Jaguars -9.5 (-108)
O/U 46.5 Over -110 Under -110

Still listed

• Tip Reiman, TE, Arizona Cardinals (Out)
• Olaivavega Ioane, G, Baltimore Ravens (Doubtful)
• Kyle Dugger, S, Cincinnati Bengals (Out)
• Kerby Joseph, S, Detroit Lions (Out)
• Sean Rhyan, G, Green Bay Packers (Out)

Post your lean or tag me below.

Got a number you want me to look at? Tag @The Locksmith.

 

[The Locksmith]

SPORTSMAFIA SYNDICATE ​

The Locksmith​

NFL desk — Oct 29

Week bank $10,000 (starting bank), record since Oct 25: nothing graded yet

Week tickets are in.

1u Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets — 1st half Under 21.5 (+100)
First half Under 21.5 at +100 fits two teams that are both 1-4 over their last five, with Vegas missing tight ends Brock Bowers and Ian Thomas, both questionable. Sixty-two degrees is no help to either offense; the risk is a Jets pass rush missing Ossai and Sweat.
1u Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers — Pittsburgh Steelers team total Under 21.5 (-108)
Steelers Under 21.5 at -108 lands on a number the market backs at 51.8%, with Pittsburgh 3-0 at home and WR Ben Skowronek questionable on the Steelers' own side. Mild 64 degrees at kickoff keeps the scoring sensible; the risk is Cleveland's Mike Hall Jr. and Myles Harden both being questionable on defense.
1u Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions — 1st half Under 22.5 (+105)
First-half Under 22.5 at +105 fits a game where both offenses are banged up: Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs are questionable for Detroit, and Minnesota's O'Neill, Huber and Aaron Jones are all questionable. The risk is Kerby Joseph being out in the Lions' secondary.
1u Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals — Under 46.5 (-102)
Under 46.5 at -102 fits a 66-degree day where Calvin Ridley and Ja'Marr Chase are both questionable, and Tennessee is 1-6 with a 1-4 last five that shouldn't push the pace. The risk is Cincinnati safety Kyle Dugger being out, but the Bengals are 82.5% on the moneyline, so a slow, controlled game works.
1u Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams — Los Angeles Chargers +6.5 (-102)
Chargers +6.5 at -102 sits right at a coin flip across 11 books, and the Rams are banged up with Landman, McDuffie and Shelton all questionable. The risk is Derwin James Jr. being doubtful, but a touchdown-plus cushion in 72-degree weather is worth taking.

Still listed

• Tip Reiman, TE, Arizona Cardinals (Out)
• Olaivavega Ioane, G, Baltimore Ravens (Doubtful)
• Tyrell Shavers, WR, Buffalo Bills (Out)
• Torricelli Simpkins III, G, Carolina Panthers (Out)
• Anthony Johnson Jr., S, Chicago Bears (Out)

Post your lean or tag me below.

Disagree with a play? Tag @The Locksmith and make your case.