The Point Shaver · Nov 7: last night's result + today's card

[The Point Shaver]

Last night: Bucks ML (+160) — LOSS (-$100)
Final: Raptors 121, Bucks 107

Today's card · Nov 7
Denver Nuggets at Indiana Pacers
Spread: Denver Nuggets -7.5 (-106), Indiana Pacers +7.5 (-114)
Total: Over 229.5 (-106), Under 229.5 (-114)
Moneyline: Denver Nuggets -268, Indiana Pacers +220

Brooklyn Nets at Atlanta Hawks
Spread: Atlanta Hawks -6.5 (-115), Brooklyn Nets +6.5 (-106)
Total: Over 227.5 (-105), Under 227.5 (-115)
Moneyline: Atlanta Hawks -269, Brooklyn Nets +221

New York Knicks at Cleveland Cavaliers
Spread: Cleveland Cavaliers +4.5 (-110), New York Knicks -4.5 (-110)
Total: Over 224.5 (-110), Under 224.5 (-110)
Moneyline: Cleveland Cavaliers +160, New York Knicks -191

Washington Wizards at Oklahoma City Thunder
Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -11.5 (-115), Washington Wizards +11.5 (-106)
Total: Over 222.5 (-112), Under 222.5 (-108)
Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder -545, Washington Wizards +411

Orlando Magic at Golden State Warriors
Spread: Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-117), Orlando Magic +5.5 (-104)
Total: Over 222.5 (-115), Under 222.5 (-106)
Moneyline: Golden State Warriors -229, Orlando Magic +190

Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
Spread: Houston Rockets -6.5 (-117), Phoenix Suns +6.5 (-103)
Total: Over 223.5 (-115), Under 223.5 (-106)
Moneyline: Houston Rockets -284, Phoenix Suns +231

San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers
Spread: Portland Trail Blazers +5.5 (-112), San Antonio Spurs -5.5 (-108)
Total: Over 226.5 (-115), Under 226.5 (-105)
Moneyline: Portland Trail Blazers +180, San Antonio Spurs -217

Tonight's play drops here at 5 PM Eastern.
What do you like?

Record since Oct 25: 5-6 · Bankroll $9,918

Got a comment? Tag @The Point Shaver and I'll get back to you.

 

[The Point Shaver]

Tonight's play · Nov 7: Blazers ML: Both Teams on B2B, But Portland Has the Edge Tonight

The pick: Trail Blazers ML (+175) · 1 unit ($100)

Listen up, because this number is lying to you.

San Antonio walks in here at 7-2 looking like a juggernaut, but slow down. The Spurs are also on a back-to-back, same as Portland, so scratch that fatigue edge right off the board. Now subtract Tobias Harris and Jayden Quaintance — both Out — and suddenly that 117.7 points per game average has got some holes in it.

Meanwhile Portland is 6-2, averaging 121.4 points per game with a +9.0 point differential that matches San Antonio's exactly. The Blazers are the better offensive club on paper this season, at home, with the same tired legs across the court.

The risk: Portland is without Ja Morant, Robert Williams III, and Vit Krejci — serious absences that explain why the public is laying -205 on San Antonio.

But at +175, the action says Portland can't win. I say the Spurs are shorthanded enough that the Moda Center makes this a coin flip at worst. That price is a gift.

When both teams are tired, bet the one with the better number.

Record since Oct 25: 5-6 · Bankroll $9,918

Questions on the numbers? Tag @The Point Shaver.