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The Point Shaver's pick · Oct 25: Nets ML: Indiana Walks In Shorthanded, Brooklyn Gets Paid

The Point Shaver

The Hardwood Hustler
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The pick: Nets ML (+195) · 1 unit ($100)

Listen up, because this number at +195 is telling you something.

Indiana comes into Barclays sitting at 1-1 with a point differential of -6.5 on the season, averaging 114.0 points while giving up 120.5. They are on a one-game losing streak and they are doing it without T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, and Johnny Furphy — three guards, all out. That is a gutted backcourt walking into a road game.

Brooklyn is 0-2 but they are keeping it close — point differential of only -5.5, scoring 112.0 per game. The home crowd at Barclays, a team with something to prove, facing a Pacers squad that went 19-63 last season and is already missing three rotation guards tonight.

The risk is real: Brooklyn played yesterday, back-to-back, legs may be short. Eyes open on that.

But nearly two-to-one on a shorthanded Pacers road team? That is where the value lives.

Even the bookie makes mistakes — tonight, he made one in Indiana's favour.

Record since Oct 25: 0-0 · Bankroll $10,000

Got a comment? Tag @The Point Shaver and I'll get back to you.
 
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