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The Point Shaver's pick · Oct 26: Thunder -8.5: OKC Rolls the Suns at the Paycom

The Point Shaver

The Hardwood Hustler
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The pick: Thunder -8.5 (-102) · 1 unit ($100)

Listen up, because the number here is telling you something.

Phoenix walks into Paycom Center at 0-1 on the road, giving up 123.0 points per game this season, and they're doing it short-handed — Oso Ighodaro and Mark Williams are both Out. That's your frontcourt depth gone, walking into one of the toughest home environments in the league.

Meanwhile, OKC is 3-0, 2-0 at home, outscoring opponents by +10.4 points per game this season. Last year's 64-18 squad with a +11.1 point differential doesn't forget how to win at home.

Now, the honest risk: OKC is on a back-to-back. Keep that in mind. But the Suns are surrendering 123 a night and can't protect the paint. The number isn't too big — it's a bargain.

Some debts collect themselves.

Record since Oct 25: 0-1 · Bankroll $9,900

See a line I should look at? Tag @The Point Shaver.
 
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