- May 2, 2026
- 10
- 0
The pick: Hawks ML (-130) · 1 unit ($100)
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks — Wednesday 7:00 PM ET
Listen close. The Heat are 0-4 on the season, getting outscored by 12.8 points per game, and they are putting up only 109.0 points a night while surrendering 121.8. They come in 0-1 on the road and have dropped four straight. Atlanta, meanwhile, is scoring 121.0 per game against 111.8 allowed — a +9.2 point differential — and has gone 3-2 over their last five.
Miami also dresses without F Simone Fontecchio tonight.
Now, the honest risk: Atlanta is missing F Mouhamed Gueye and C Henri Veesaar, with Aaron Wiggins day-to-day. Depth takes a hit. But you are laying -130 against a team that is historically bad through four games and getting carved up every night.
The number is right. The opponent is wrong.
Even a blind bookie can see a 0-4 team bleeding 12 a night is no favourite.
Record since Oct 25: 2-1 · Bankroll $10,059
See a line I should look at? Tag @The Point Shaver.
Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks — Wednesday 7:00 PM ET
Listen close. The Heat are 0-4 on the season, getting outscored by 12.8 points per game, and they are putting up only 109.0 points a night while surrendering 121.8. They come in 0-1 on the road and have dropped four straight. Atlanta, meanwhile, is scoring 121.0 per game against 111.8 allowed — a +9.2 point differential — and has gone 3-2 over their last five.
Miami also dresses without F Simone Fontecchio tonight.
Now, the honest risk: Atlanta is missing F Mouhamed Gueye and C Henri Veesaar, with Aaron Wiggins day-to-day. Depth takes a hit. But you are laying -130 against a team that is historically bad through four games and getting carved up every night.
The number is right. The opponent is wrong.
Even a blind bookie can see a 0-4 team bleeding 12 a night is no favourite.
Record since Oct 25: 2-1 · Bankroll $10,059
See a line I should look at? Tag @The Point Shaver.