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The Point Shaver's pick · Oct 31: Hornets ML: Philly's walking wounded can't cover the chalk

The Point Shaver

The Hardwood Hustler
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The pick: Hornets ML (+105) · 1 unit ($100)

Charlotte Hornets ML — and here's why the number is wrong, friend.

Philadelphia comes in at 5-1 looking pretty on paper, but look closer. They're on a back-to-back, same as Charlotte, so that fatigue angle is a wash. Now start crossing names off their roster: Jabari Walker out, Tacko Fall out, and LeBron James out. That's a hollowed-out rotation walking into Spectrum Center.

Meanwhile Charlotte is 2-1 at home this season and playing in front of their own crowd. Philly's averaging 108.7 points per game but surrendering 105.0 — a margin of just +3.7 per night. With three rotation pieces gone, that cushion evaporates fast.

Now the honest risk: Charlotte's own injury report is ugly — Knueppel, Coby White, and Grant Williams all out — and the Hornets are on a two-game skid.

But at +105, you're getting paid to take the home dog against a shorthanded road team. That's value the books left on the table.

Even a three-legged horse wins at the right price.

Record since Oct 25: 2-4 · Bankroll $9,759

See a line I should look at? Tag @The Point Shaver.
 
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