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Thursday Night Shop Talk – Jags at Ravens, Week 9

Jimmy Hoffa

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Brothers and sisters, it is Thursday afternoon and the books have already done their damage on tonight's game. Let me break it down before kickoff.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Baltimore Ravens — Thu Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET, M&T Bank Stadium, Prime Video

Both clubs are on a short week, 4 days rest apiece after playing Sunday. That alone should have you paying attention to this line.

Now here is the real news, reported by the SportsMafia Wire: Lamar Jackson (Ravens QB) is on injured reserve following thumb surgery that could end his season. Also on injured reserve, per the SportsMafia Wire: Tyler Huntley (Ravens QB) is done for the year with a turf toe injury. Baltimore's entire quarterback room is gone.

On DraftKings this game opened Baltimore -4.5. It is sitting at Jacksonville -10 right now, and the total fell from 49.5 down to 39.5. The line flipped — the road team is now a double-digit favorite — and it crossed through both 3 and 7 getting there.

For the Ravens, Nate Wiggins (Ravens CB) is questionable with an illness, and Jaylinn Hawkins (Ravens S) is out with a knee injury. On the Jacksonville side, Bhayshul Tuten (Jaguars RB) is questionable with an ankle, and Travon Walker (Jaguars DE) is questionable with ribs. Weather is 67 degrees and cloudy, no major concern there.

What it means for you: A favorite flip means the market now thinks the other team is better today — usually quarterback news, exactly as here — so the bet at open no longer exists.

The books don't do us any favors, folks. Early information is your edge, not chasing numbers after they've already moved this far.

What do you all think — does Jacksonville cover a -10 road number with both teams on a short week?

Hear something I should know? Tag @Jimmy Hoffa.
 
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